Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 3.131051 3.717693 4.415685 5.316548 6.461840 7.887666 9.826443e+00
2024-10-13 2.233405 2.917232 3.839058 5.207985 7.253378 10.308495 1.545227e+01
2024-10-20 1.876396 2.604150 3.668292 5.407490 8.326852 13.340908 2.341864e+01
2024-10-27 1.575734 2.282555 3.378226 5.300999 8.831954 15.622955 3.153082e+01
2024-11-03 1.459139 2.204875 3.430432 5.744672 10.422085 20.629064 4.932455e+01
2024-11-10 1.324977 2.069873 3.352477 5.924284 11.561913 25.320413 7.131105e+01
2024-11-17 1.232194 1.985512 3.340877 6.220562 13.063760 31.819831 1.078396e+02
2024-11-24 1.114202 1.837305 3.182026 6.168916 13.733379 36.537614 1.460305e+02
2024-12-01 1.030530 1.738314 3.098378 6.257822 14.803280 43.333713 2.097615e+02
2024-12-08 0.953993 1.641619 3.001881 6.292030 15.747897 50.560916 2.988405e+02
2024-12-15 0.909389 1.599799 3.010565 6.582981 17.601330 63.267309 4.880559e+02
2024-12-22 0.836688 1.493280 2.863859 6.442411 18.024799 70.232747 6.667534e+02
2024-12-29 0.771516 1.404710 2.766309 6.478626 19.360669 85.232357 1.144216e+03
2025-01-05 0.699611 1.295556 2.610052 6.331300 20.070860 99.090663 1.922450e+03
2025-01-12 0.661088 1.250732 2.594171 6.587365 22.600853 131.212186 4.698111e+03
2025-01-19 0.606998 1.164708 2.462998 6.450854 23.383247 152.898599 9.414932e+03
2025-01-26 0.592078 1.163161 2.541578 7.020614 28.055197 229.740761 5.566717e+04
2025-02-02 0.563272 1.125950 2.521126 7.252125 31.295965 310.392127 4.869106e+05
2025-02-09 0.542549 1.104698 2.539287 7.635055 35.934509 450.086975 3.853978e+08
2025-02-16 0.508320 1.046982 2.446743 7.568212 37.712878 557.015023 NaN
2025-02-23 0.483210 1.008543 2.402584 7.683302 41.012266 748.781262 NaN
2025-03-02 0.458320 0.967818 2.345170 7.727615 43.949351 989.987789 NaN
2025-03-09 0.444357 0.952917 2.362110 8.105180 50.352967 1561.437400 NaN